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UFC on Fox Calgary Preview – Two Surging Lightweights clash in Main Event.


UFC 149 was the last time that the Octagon made an appearance in Calgary, Alberta. Many fights had, unfortunately, fell through on the card including a Featherweight title fight between Jose Aldo Vs. Eric Koch and appearances from Michael Bisping and Big Nog. There was still a lot of excitement in the air leading up to the card in Alberta as Renan Barao was set to face Urijah Faber in the Main Event to save the card, and highly hyped prospect Hector Lombard was set to make his promotional debut. Long Story short, the main card sucked. The UFC now has the chance to right its wrongs from that card and give Calgary a show that they deserve.

Lightweight: Olivier Aubin-Mercier (+120) Vs. Alexander Hernandez (-140)

Alexander Hernandez really impressed me during his UFC debut at UFC 222 where he was able to dispatch Beneil Dariush in only 41 seconds, and he did it on short notice. I am very high on Alexander Hernandez as a prospect, however, I am also very high on his opponent. Olivier Aubin-Mercier is a fighter who trains out of the Canadian Supercamp Tristar and regularly trains with UFC mainstays in Joe Duffy, Rory MacDonald, Alex Garcia, Nordine Taleb and possible GOAT Georges St. Pierre. OAM is also on a tear at the moment with consecutive victories over Thibault Gouti, Drew Dober, Tony Martin and Evan Dunham. I believe that OAM will continue his tear and be able to derail Hernandez by decision. Olivier Aubin-Mercier Def. Alexander Hernandez

Women’s Strawweight: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-280) Vs. Tecia Torres (+240)

Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the former champion of the Women’s Strawweight Division. Frankly, since she is no longer the champion and lost in her title rematch to Rose Namajunas I believe that she should move up to Flyweight. She cuts way too much weight for someone of her stature and I feel like she could have an Anthony Johnson effect and be a worldbeater once she stops pushing her body to the limit. If she makes weight on Friday I think that she will win on Saturday because Tecia Torres is not at Joanna’s level striking wise and she won’t be able to perform her gameplan. Joanna Jedrzejczyk Def. Tecia Torres

Featherweight: Jose Aldo (-130) Vs. Jeremy Stephens (+110)

If you told me three years ago that the odds on a Jose Aldo/Jeremy Stephens fight would be nearly even, I’d probably laugh in your face, but it’s 2018 and it is a reality. Jeremy Stephens has been on a tear lately and was able to finish his last 2 opponents in Doo Ho Choi and Josh Emmett and he was able to take away Gilbert Melendez’ ability to walk for weeks with Brutal Leg Kicks. Jose Aldo is a legend in Brazilian MMA, people have murals of his face on walls in Rio just like the ones for Pele and Ronaldinho, that shows you how highly regarded he held in. However, Jose Aldo was just destroyed by Max Holloway at both UFC 212 and UFC 218 and while I don’t think he’s done as a high level mixed martial artist, I think he is done fighting at a championship quality level. Also, I think that USADA really threw Nova Uniao for a loop when it was enacted in 2015. Jeremy Stephens by third-round TKO. Jeremy Stephens Def. Jose Aldo

Lightweight: Dustin Poirier (-160) Vs Eddie Alvarez (+140)

Justin Gaethje had named himself the “King of Violence” inside the octagon and if you treated the nickname like a belt, then Eddie Alvarez would be defending champion and Dustin Poirier would be the number one contender. Poirier has gotten victories in his last three fights and is 7-1 at lightweight in the UFC. His fight against Justin Gaethje was incredibly entertaining and impressive, as were his previous fights against Anthony Pettis and Jim Miller, all three of which won Fight of the Night. Eddie Alvarez was able to impressively defeat Justin Gaethje at UFC 218 in possibly the best fight of 2017 and was once the Undisputed UFC Lightweight Champion. Surprisingly, unlike most fights that I preview, these two have already met inside the octagon. At UFC 211, Poirier and Alvarez fought a great fight. Poirier had won the first round of the fight but lost some momentum in the second and unfortunately, Alvarez threw an illegal knee while Poirier was grounded and the bout ended in a no contest. Overall, I feel like Dustin Poirier will take the victory in a five round war. Dustin Poirier Def. Eddie Alvarez

Other Selections:

Welterweight: Alex Morono (-120) Def. Jordan Mein (+100)

Featherweight: Hakeem Dawodu (-370) Def. Austin Arnett (+305)

Lightweight: Islam Makhachev (-700) Def. Kajan Johnson (+525) WOW

Light Heavyweight: Ion Cutelaba (+143) Def. Gadzhimurad Antigulov (-163)

Lightweight: John Makdessi (-172) Def. Ross Pearson (+147)

Women’s Flyweight: Alexis Davis (+140) Def. Katlyn Chookagian (-160)

Flyweight: Dustin Ortiz (+155) Def. Matheus Nicolau (-180)

Women’s Strawweight: Nina Ansaroff (-148) Def. Randa Markos (+128)

Lightweight: Devin Powell (-120) Def. Alvaro Herrera (+100)

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